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The figure compares score trajectories among episodes where deterioration (outcome defined in text) did and did not occur. Episodes where the outcome occurred are shown at top (upper points and grey fitted line).
For episodes without an outcome (lower points and dashed fitted line), we selected a random 24 h period. Episodes without the outcome have generally lower scores than episodes with the outcome. The figure shows that the AAM score starts increasing about 8 h prior to the event with the average score being close to 12 at the time of the event.